XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 22, 2025)
XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 22, 2025)
1️⃣ Main Trend (H1)
– On H1: The short-term downtrend has officially been broken as price surpassed the descending trendline and the 3680 resistance (PW VAH).
– Currently, price has rallied strongly, reaching the 3710–3715 zone, showing that buying pressure is dominant.
– Overall: The short-term trend has shifted to bullish, aligning with the broader uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Price Zones
Nearby Resistances:
– 3710–3715 (recent short-term high).
– 3730 (psychological resistance + previous supply zone).
Key Supports:
– 3680–3685 (PW VAH + breakout retest area).
– 3640–3643 (PW POC – previous balance & demand zone).
3️⃣ Price Behavior
– Price has broken out strongly from 3680, creating a steep bullish momentum.
– Current price action shows buyers in control, but after such a rapid move, the probability of a retest back to 3680–3685 is high.
– The 3710–3715 zone is showing signs of selling pressure (upper wick rejection on H1).
4️⃣ Candlestick Patterns
– Strong consecutive bullish H1 candles with long bodies → confirmation that buyers dominate the market.
– The latest candle around 3710–3715 left a longer upper wick → an early warning signal of short-term profit-taking pressure.
– Additional observation: If a bearish pin bar or bearish engulfing forms at 3710–3715 → high chance of a short-term pullback.
5️⃣ Trading Plan
* Scenario 1 – BUY at Support (Highest Priority)
– Entry: 3680–3685 (breakout retest area).
– Target: 3710 → 3725.
* Scenario 2 – Short-term SELL at Resistance (only if clear bearish candlestick signals appear)
– Entry: 3710–3715.
– Target: 3690 → 3685.
* Scenario 3 – Breakout BUY
– Entry: Buy if H1 closes above 3715–3720 with strong volume.
– Target: 3730 → 3745.
✅ Conclusion: The bullish trend has been confirmed. Priority goes to BUY strategies at 3680–3685 retest or successful breakout above 3720+. Short-term SELLs should only be considered if clear bearish candlestick signals form around the 3710–3715 resistance zone.
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